Over the past two years unprecedented international market volatility, caused by the Global Financial Crisis, have made all previous methods of predicting market directions obsolete.
Will this continue? If so, in what form? Has the market always been driven by media releases and the Global Financial Crisis has exposed this, or do ‘tested’ methods of market prediction such as charting still have a place in funds management, stock trading and currency movements?
Here in South Australia, where the full effect of this crisis has yet to be realised, will investors react to the media or market data? Or both? When the media is negative and market data positive which direction does the market move in?
The recent volatility has irrevocably altered how investors view market information, and the intellectual conundrum I intend to question is “In future will traders be swayed by analysis of market data or by collective media reports?’.